Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.000095 0.000105 0.000116 0.000129 0.000142 0.000157 0.000175
2026-01-18 0.000080 0.000094 0.000110 0.000128 0.000151 0.000177 0.000208
2026-01-25 0.000069 0.000085 0.000104 0.000128 0.000158 0.000194 0.000242
2026-02-01 0.000061 0.000078 0.000100 0.000128 0.000166 0.000213 0.000277
2026-02-08 0.000053 0.000071 0.000094 0.000127 0.000170 0.000228 0.000309
2026-02-15 0.000048 0.000066 0.000091 0.000126 0.000175 0.000243 0.000344
2026-02-22 0.000044 0.000062 0.000088 0.000126 0.000182 0.000261 0.000382
2026-03-01 0.000040 0.000058 0.000084 0.000125 0.000185 0.000274 0.000416
2026-03-08 0.000037 0.000056 0.000083 0.000126 0.000193 0.000294 0.000460
2026-03-15 0.000034 0.000053 0.000081 0.000126 0.000199 0.000311 0.000502
2026-03-22 0.000032 0.000050 0.000078 0.000125 0.000202 0.000325 0.000540
2026-03-29 0.000030 0.000049 0.000078 0.000127 0.000211 0.000348 0.000593
2026-04-05 0.000028 0.000046 0.000076 0.000128 0.000217 0.000367 0.000644
2026-04-12 0.000026 0.000044 0.000074 0.000127 0.000221 0.000384 0.000692
2026-04-19 0.000024 0.000042 0.000072 0.000127 0.000226 0.000401 0.000741
2026-04-26 0.000023 0.000040 0.000071 0.000127 0.000231 0.000420 0.000796
2026-05-03 0.000021 0.000038 0.000068 0.000125 0.000233 0.000433 0.000841
2026-05-10 0.000020 0.000037 0.000066 0.000124 0.000236 0.000449 0.000894
2026-05-17 0.000019 0.000035 0.000065 0.000124 0.000242 0.000469 0.000956
2026-05-24 0.000018 0.000034 0.000063 0.000123 0.000244 0.000483 0.001007
2026-05-31 0.000017 0.000033 0.000063 0.000124 0.000251 0.000507 0.001083
2026-06-07 0.000016 0.000032 0.000062 0.000124 0.000256 0.000529 0.001153
2026-06-14 0.000015 0.000031 0.000060 0.000124 0.000259 0.000545 0.001214